[1] CANE M A. Oceanographic events during El Niño[J]. Science, 1983, 222: 1189-1195.
[2] BJERKNES J.A possible response of the atmospheric Hadley Circulation to equatorial anomalies of ocean Temperature[J].Tellus, 1966, 18(4): 820-829.
[3] BJERKNES J.Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific[J].Monthly Weather Review, 1969, 97: 163-172.
[4] MCCREARY M P.A model of tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction[J].Monthly Weather Review, 1983, 111: 370-387.
[5] JIN F F.An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO part Ⅰ: Conceptual model[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences,1997, 54: 811-829.
[6] JIN F F.An equatorial ocean recharge paradigm for ENSO part Ⅱ: A stripped-down coupled model[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1997,54:830-847.
[7] WEISBERG R H, WANG C.A western Pacific oscillator paradigm for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation[J].Geophys Res Lett, 1997, 24: 779-782.
[8] PICAUT J, MASIA F, DU PENHOAT Y.An advective-reflective conceptual model for the oscillatory nature of the ENSO[J].Science, 1997, 277: 663-666.
[9] WANG C.On the ENSO mechanisms[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2000, 18: 674-691.
[10] 李崇银.关于ENSO本质的进一步研究[J].气候与环境研究, 2002, 7(2): 160-173.
[11] 巢纪平, 袁绍宇, 巢清尘, 等.热带西太平洋暖池次表层暖水的起源-—对1997/1998年ENSO事件的分析[J].大气科学, 2003, 27(2): 145-151.
[12] 陈锦年, 宋贵霆, 褚健婷, 等.北赤道流区海温异常与ENSO循环[J].热带海洋学报, 2003, 22(4): 10-17.
[13] 赵永平, 陈永利, 王凡, 等.热带太平洋海洋混合层水体振荡与ENSO循环[J].中国科学:D辑, 2007, 37(8): 1120-1133.
[14] BURGERS G, STEPHENSON D B.The normality of El Niño[J].Geophys Res Lett, 1999, 26:1027–1030.
[15] TIMMERMANN A, JIN F F.Phytoplankton influences on tropical climate[J].Geophys Res Lett, 2002, 29(23), 11-19, doi:10.1029/2002GL015434.
[16] MONAHAN A H.The spatial and temporal structure of ENSO nonlinearity[J].Journal of Climate, 2004, 17: 3206-3036.
[17] KANG I S, KUG J S.El Niño and La Niña sea surface temperature anomalies: Asymmetry characteristics associated with their wind stress anomalies[J].Journal of Geophysical Research, 2002, 107, D19, 4372.
[18] KESSLER W S, KLEEMAN R.Rectification of the Madden–Julian oscillation into the ENSO cycle[J].Journal of Climate, 2000,13: 3560–3575.
[19] HOERLING M P, KUMAR A, ZHONG M.El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections[J].Journal of Climate, 1997, 10: 1769–1786.
[20] JIN F F, An S I, TIMMERMANN A, et al.Strong El Niño events and nonlinear dynamical heating[J].Geophys Res Lett, 2003, 30(3), 1120, doi: 10.1029/2002GL016356.
[21] DONG B.Asymmetry between El Niño and La Niña in a global coupled GCM with an eddy-permitting ocean resolution[J].Journal of Climate, 2005, 18: 3373-3387.
[22] DUAN W S, MU M, WANG B.Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations as the optimal precursors of El Nino-Southern Oscillation events[J].J Geophys Res, 2004, 109, D23105, doi:10.1029/2004JD004756.
[23] DUAN W S, XU H, MU M.Decisive role of nonlinear temperature advection in El Niño and La Niña amplitude asymmetry[J].J Geophys Res, 2008, 113, C01014, doi: 10.1029/2006JC003974.
[24] DUAN W S, MU M.Investigating decadal variability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation asymmetry by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation[J].J Geophys Res, 2006, 111, C07015, doi: 10.1029/2005JC003458.
[25] 段晚锁, 穆穆.用非线性最优化方法研究El Niño可预报性的进展与前瞻[J].大气科学, 2006, 30(5): 759-766.
[26] HANNACHI A, STEPHENSON D, SPERBER K.Probability-based methods for quantifying nonlinearity in the ENSO[J].Climate Dyn, 2003, 20: 241–256.
[27] AN S I, JIN F F.Nonlinearity and asymmetry of ENSO[J].Journal of Climate, 2004, 17: 2399–2412.
[28] 孟祥凤, 吴德星, 林霄沛.ENSO循环相关的海洋异常信号传播特征及其机制[J].热带海洋学报, 2004, 23(6): 23-29.
[29] MENG X F, WU D X, LIN X P.A further investigation of the decadal variation of ENSO characteristics with instability analysis[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 23(1): 156-164.
[30] TRENBERTH K E.The definition of El Niño[J].Bull Amer Met Soc, 1997, 78: 2771-2777.
[31] CAPOTONDI A, ALEXANDER M A.Rossby waves in the tropical North Pacific and their role in decadal thermocline variability[J].J Phys Oceanogr, 2001, 31: 3496-3515.
[32] GENT P R, WILLEBRAND J, MCDOUGALL T J, et al.Parameterizing eddy-induced tracer transports in ocean circulation models[J].J Phys Oceanogr, 1995, 25: 463-474. |