Journal of Tropical Oceanography ›› 2026, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (1): 44-59.doi: 10.11978/2025087CSTR: 32234.14.2025087
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ZHANG Zeming1(
), ZHOU Yong2(
), XU Min2,3, ZHAO Minghui2,3, XIE Jinqian4, CHEN Haopeng1, ZHANG Yayun2
Received:2025-06-25
Revised:2025-07-17
Online:2026-01-10
Published:2026-01-30
Contact:
ZHOU Yong. email: Supported by:CLC Number:
ZHANG Zeming, ZHOU Yong, XU Min, ZHAO Minghui, XIE Jinqian, CHEN Haopeng, ZHANG Yayun. A preliminary study on Indian Ocean tsunami hazards and T-wave-based tsunami early warning*[J].Journal of Tropical Oceanography, 2026, 45(1): 44-59.
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Tab. 1
Summary of Tsunamis in the Indian Ocean from 1762 to present"
| 时间 | 经度 | 纬度 | 震级Mw | 震源深度/km | 海啸爬高/m | 死亡人数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1762-04-02 | 92°E | 22°N | * | * | 1.83 | * |
| 1797-02-10 | 99°E | 0°00′3.6″N | 8.0 | * | * | 300 |
| 1815-04-10 | 118°E | 8°12′S | * | * | 4 | * |
| 1820-12-29 | 119°E | 7°S | 7.5 | 80 | 25 | 500 |
| 1833-11-24 | 100°30′E | 2°30′S | 8.3 | 75 | * | * |
| 1843-01-05 | 98°E | 1°30′N | 7.3 | 70 | * | * |
| 1857-05-13 | 115°30′E | 8°S | 7 | 50 | 3.4 | * |
| 1859-10-20 | 111°E | 9°S | * | * | * | 2 |
| 1861-02-16 | 97°30′E | 1°S | 8.5 | 70 | 7 | 1105 |
| 1861-03-09 | 98°E | 0°00′32.4″N | 7.0 | 20 | * | 950 |
| 1883-08-27 | 105°25′22.8″E | 6°6′7.2″N | * | * | 41 | 34417 |
| 1907-01-04 | 95°30′E | 2°40′52″N | 8.2 | 50 | 15 | 2188 |
| 1921-09-11 | 111°E | 11°S | 7.5 | * | 0.1 | * |
| 1928-08-04 | 121°42′E | 8°18′S | * | 1 | 10 | 128 |
| 1930-05-05 | 96°30′E | 17°18′S | 7.3 | * | 1.06 | * |
| 1941-06-26 | 96°36′E | 11°54′S | 8 | 20 | 1.5 | * |
| 1945-11-27 | 63°E | 24°30′N | 8 | * | 17 | 4000 |
| 1977-08-19 | 118°22′41″E | 11°9′50.4″S | 8.3 | 25 | 15 | 189 |
| 1979-07-18 | 123°30′E | 8°36′S | * | * | 9 | 1239 |
| 1983-11-30 | 72°6′E | 6°48′S | 7.7 | 10 | 1.5 | * |
| 1992-12-12 | 121°53′46.6″E | 8°28′48″S | 7.8 | 28 | 26.2 | 1169 |
| 1994-06-02 | 112°50′6.6″E | 10°28′37.2″S | 7.8 | 18 | 13.9 | 238 |
| 1994-06-03 | 112°53′31.2″E | 10°21′43.2″S | 6.6 | 26 | 3.7 | * |
| 1994-06-05 | 113°22′8.8″E | 10°20′27.6″S | 6.1 | 17 | 3 | * |
| 1995-05-14 | 125°2′56.4″E | 8°27′7.2″S | 6.9 | 13 | 4 | 11 |
| 2000-06-18 | 97°27′10.8″E | 13°48′7.2″S | 7.9 | 10 | 0.3 | * |
| 2002-09-13 | 93°6′E | 13°S | 6.5 | 21 | * | * |
| 2004-11-11 | 124°52′4.8″E | 8°9′7.2″S | 7.5 | 10 | 2 | * |
| 2004-12-26 | 95°58′55.2″E | 3°17′42″N | 9.1 | 30 | 50.9 | 227899 |
| 2005-03-28 | 97°6′29″E | 2°5′6″N | 8.6 | 30 | 4.2 | 16 |
| 2005-04-10 | 99°36′E | 1°36′S | 6.7 | 19 | 0.4 | * |
| 2006-07-17 | 107°24′39.6″E | 9°15′14.4″S | 7.7 | 34 | 20.9 | 802 |
| 2007-09-12 | 101°22′1.2″E | 4°26′17″S | 8.4 | 34 | 5 | * |
| 2008-02-25 | 99°58′19.9″E | 2°29′9.6″S | 6.5 | 25 | 0.12 | * |
| 2009-08-16 | 99°29′24″E | 1°28′44.4″S | 6.7 | 20 | 0.18 | * |
| 2009-09-02 | 107°17′49.2″E | 1°46′55.2″S | 7 | 46 | 0.4 | * |
| 2009-09-30 | 99°52′1.2″E | 0°43′12″S | 7.5 | 81 | 0.27 | * |
| 2010-04-06 | 97°2′52.8″E | 2°22′58.8″N | 7.8 | 31 | 0.44 | * |
| 2010-06-12 | 91°56′9.6″E | 7°52′51.6″N | 7.5 | 35 | 0.03 | * |
| 2010-10-25 | 100°4′55.2″E | 3°29′13.2″S | 7.8 | 20 | 16.9 | 431 |
| 2012-04-11 | 93°3′46.7″E | 2°19′37.2″N | 8.6 | 20 | 1.08 | * |
| 2012-04-11 | 92°27′46.7″E | 0°48′7.2″N | 8.2 | 25 | * | * |
| 2016-03-02 | 94°19′48″E | 4°57′7.2″S | 7.8 | 24 | 2.4 | * |
| 2018-08-05 | 116°26′16.8″E | 8°15′29″S | 6.9 | 34 | 2 | * |
| 2018-12-22 | 105°25′55.2″E | 6°6′7.2″S | * | * | 85 | 437 |
| 2021-12-14 | 122°12′E | 7°36′11″S | 7.3 | 18 | 0.07 | * |
| 2023-04-24 | 98°31′26.4″E | 0°47′56.4″S | 7.1 | 34 | 0.11 | * |
Tab. 2
Comparison of the applicability of T-waves and traditional monitoring methods in tsunami early warning"
| 指标 | 预警时间 | 准确性 | 适用范围 | 缺点 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 潮位站监测 | 海啸抵达时间 | 可直观反映实际海平面变化 | 以近岸为主 | 预警时间有限 (Holgate et al, |
| DART系统监测 | 可实时接收深海压力变化数据 | 能直接监测海啸波引起的压力变化 | 仅限浮标覆盖区域 | 建设和维护成本高 (Bernard et al, 2001) |
| 地震信息监测 | 地震台站能快速接收地震信号 | 依赖震源参数, 存在低估震级风险 | 全球范围均可适用 | 难以分辨近海和海底地震 (Gou et al, |
| T波监测 | 传播速度虽慢于地震波, 但远快于海啸波, 可提前预警 | 多数海啸地震伴随明显T波信号, 但非所有T波都对应海啸 | 具有一定的适用范围 | 传播特性复杂 |
Fig 10
(a) Seventeen Indian Ocean tsunami earthquake signals recorded at the PALK station; (b) twelve Indian Ocean tsunami earthquake signals recorded at the COCO station (waveform data for some events are not available in IRIS). Time zero marks the origin time of the event; yellow and red dots indicate the theoretical arrival times of P-waves and T-waves, respectively"
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