我国南海沿海台风及暴潮灾害趋势分析

doi:10.11978/2018037

Abstract

Abstract: Based on the analysis of data obtained from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) (1949-2016) and State Oceanic Administration (SOA) (1989-2016), the trend of tropical cyclone and storm surge disaster along the northern South China Sea was examined in this study. The result indicated that the annual frequency of typhoons had been decreasing slightly but the influence of powerful typhoons and typhoon intensity showed a rising tendency. The frequency of landfall typhoons had experienced significant transformation in the mid-90s. Eastern Guangdong was frequently affected by high-intensity typhoons, and typhoon intensity in western Guangdong had increased year by year since 2007. Typhoon intensity gave the accordant distribution in the four study areas. Four typical paths of storm surge were summarized, and variations of intensity and regional distributions of typhoons with different incidence angle ranges were also analyzed in the study. We found that both the frequency of strong storm surge disaster and the level of annual maximum storm surge had increasing trends along South China coast in recent years.

Key words: typhoon, storm surge, frequency, intensity, angle of incidence

YIN Chengtuan, ZHANG Jinshan, XIONG Mengjie, XU Junhui. Trend analysis of typhoon and storm surge disaster on the South China Sea coast of China[J].Journal of Tropical Oceanography, 2019, 38(1): 35-42.

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Trend analysis of typhoon and storm surge disaster on the South China Sea coast of China

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